altogether, summing the chances for the next 9 drawings (which will take some years before we see 10,000 members here) yields total odds of approximately 1 in 518 (if my math is correct)
>>> sum(1.0 / r for r in (2000, 3000, 4000, 5000, 6000, 7000, 8000, 9000, 10000))
0.001928968253968254
>>> 1 / _
518.4118494137009
please feel free to add your own favorite numbers - for entertainment purposes only
The probability of not winning any of the next drawings from 2k-10k is (untested python):
numpy.prod( 1.0 - 1.0 / r for r in range( 2000, 11000, 1000 ) )
So the probability of winning at least one of those drawings is 1 minus that. Comes out to about the same in this case, about 0.2%. But if you think about it, any calculation that involves adding probabilities of events that aren't mutually exclusive could easily sum to over 1, which wouldn't make sense.
Comments
Thanks you @uptime .. i hope will win
66666666
0122
chmod 6777
well alrighty then!
your odds for the next drawing are 1 in 2000
and the next one after that will be 1 in 3000
and so on ...
altogether, summing the chances for the next 9 drawings (which will take some years before we see 10,000 members here) yields total odds of approximately 1 in 518 (if my math is correct)
please feel free to add your own favorite numbers - for entertainment purposes only
good luck!
HS4LIFE (+ (* 3 4) (* 5 6))
.30434782608695652173913043478260869565217391304347
My pronouns are like/subscribe.
The probability of not winning any of the next drawings from 2k-10k is (untested python):
So the probability of winning at least one of those drawings is 1 minus that. Comes out to about the same in this case, about 0.2%. But if you think about it, any calculation that involves adding probabilities of events that aren't mutually exclusive could easily sum to over 1, which wouldn't make sense.
Numberzzzzz!!!!
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you should change the thread title , some righteous white knight might take offence , and throw a hissy fit.
We're all LESbians here.
My pronouns are like/subscribe.
69
HS4LIFE (+ (* 3 4) (* 5 6))
109985
Let me complete the rest of the line for you
“We are all LESbians here... from our own device”
Bonus points for guessing the song correctly
Squats are the new Push-ups
Fucking Hotel California.
I hate Hotel California.
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who won lol?
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Stay safe and healthy. Donate to the WFP.
You can choose as you please....
Won
Squats are the new Push-ups
Hello, 554394524
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Could you check my recent mention( of you) ?
and as always
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2 sisters 1 cup.
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